The present day Bulgarian
economy has essentially been
shaped by the industrial network
put in place during the
communist years when Bulgaria
was an integral part of the
Council for Mutual Economic
Assistance (CMEA) group of
nations. This period saw
Bulgaria move away from being a
country with a primarily
agricultural base to being one
of the prime producers of
chemicals, steel, electrical
components and computers.
The collapse of communism in
1989 essentially removed
Bulgaria's market for exports.
Bulgaria's industry was ill
prepared for international
competition and the Bulgarian
economy was burdened by a gross
external debt that exceeded its
annual gross domestic product
(GDP). The years immediately
following the fall of the CMEA
saw a decline in Bulgaria's
industrial fortunes. A
combination of delays in
tackling the necessary
structural reforms and
bureaucracy within the state
machinery produced a cumulative
fall in GDP between 1990 and
1997 of over 25%. A succession
of governments had failed to
address the problems of
Bulgaria's declining industry,
lack of capital investment and
the growing influence of
organised crime.
In February 1997, the then
socialist government resigned as
a result of mass protests. This
led to the installation of a
caretaker government with the
subsequent election of a
government headed by Prime
Minister Ivan Kostov.
The coming to power of the
Kostov government has resulted
in a transformation in
Bulgaria's economic fortunes.
The currency, the Bulgarian lev,
was tied to the Deutschemark,
now the Euro, through a currency
board arrangement; inflation is
under control (6.2% in 1999);
the base interest rate is below
4%; GDP is growing (est. 2.5% in
1999) and external debt is under
control. Privatisation of
industry is largely complete,
although a number of large
enterprises e.g. Bulgartabac
remain to be sold off. The
agricultural sector is almost
totally in private hands.
Following the general elections
in June 2001, a new government
was formed, led by the former
Bulgarian King Simeon II. It has
promised to keep the same
foreign policy priorities and to
attract foreign investment
through tax-reduction,
anti-corruption and transparency
measures.
Early in 2000 Bulgaria started
accession negotiations with the
European Union (EU) and its main
stated foreign policy aim is to
become a full member of the
Union and also NATO. Bulgaria is
also a full member of the
Central European Free Trade
Association (CEFTA), having
negotiated bilateral agreements
with each member state. These
developments are very much
reflected in the balance of
Bulgaria's trade and in the
trade flows from Bulgaria. Prior
to 1989 over 90% of Bulgaria's
production for export was sent
to countries within the CMEA. By
the end of 1999 over 50% of
Bulgaria's exports went to EU
countries. Lower trade barriers
with other CEFTA members will
add further impetus to
Bulgaria's exports reaching
existing or future EU members.
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