China:

Property Investment Profile

should you invest in china?

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Should You Invest?

China has showed openness to progress and development by its accession to the World Trade Organisation (WTO) in 2001 and, in a bid to encourage more FDI and non-FDI inflow, China also has dual taxation agreements with 78 countries, including the UK. Its rocketing economy is displaying excellent growth prospects that ensure China is an excellent location for many forms of investment. Its national and international population is growing , creating an ongoing demand for property, and with GDP per capita figures on the up, citizens have more disposable income with which to buy property. Supply though is not necessarily guaranteed in all districts so check the state of the market carefully.

  • China has the fastest growing economy in the world and is expected to overtake the US within a decade.
  • Implementation of the Property Rights Law should provide more security on private property rights.
  • Demand for property will be consistently higher than supply over the next few decades and price growth should remain above 10% for the next 15 years.
  • However, China's tax and legal systems are not very transparent and could cause problems.
  • There are also risks associated with China's Communist government.

Rental Yields

Yields in the five prime cities (according to globalpropertyguide.com) – Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, Shenzhen and Chengdu  - are generally 5%, although Beijing can earn slightly more at 5.5% on average.

location
type of
property
size
(m2)
average
price
to buy
(US$)
cost per
m2 to buy
(US$)
average
price
to rent
(US$)
cost per
m2 to rent
(US$)
Yield
(%)
Beijing -
Apartments
           
  60 114,180 1,903 539 9.0 5.67%
  120 261,960 2,183 1,122 9.4 5.14%
  200 465,800 2,329 2,206 11.0 5.68%
Shanghai -
Apartments
           
   60 116,040 1,934 533 9.0 5.51%
  120 323,640 2,697 1,176 9.8 4.36%
  200 600,200 3,001 2,468 12.3 4.93
Guangzhou -
Apartments
           
  60 67,440 1,124 305 5.1 5.43%
  120 169,200 1,410 734 6.1 5.21%
  180 345,960 1,922 1,298 7.2 4.50%
Shenzhen -
Apartments
           
  45 66,150 1,470 314 7.0 5.70%
  75 106,500 1,420 406 5.4 4.57%
  105 123,165 1,173 457 4.4 4.45%
Shenzhen -
Villas
           
  120 244,920 2,041 992 8.3 4.86%
  185 573,315 3,099 1,650 8.9 3.45%
  255 1,367,310 5,362 2,978 11.7 2.61%
  325 2,017,925 6,209 3,926 12.1 2.33%
  450 3,460,500 7,690 6,336 14.1 2.20%
Chengdu -
Apartments
           
  60 57,000 950 203 3.4 4.28%
  120 110,760 923 395 3.3 4.28%
  180 173,160 962 682 3.8 4.73%
Source: Global Property Guide

Price History

Due to the rapidly increasing population, especially in the middle classes, demand for property is very high and so China is experiencing a boom in the market as supply tries to meet demand. This is leading to concerns that a bubble market may be emerging due to overbuilding. The authorities however, are adament that demand will be continuously high for a long time to come, which should mean that surplus property will not become an issue, at least not in the foreseeable future. The restricitve measures implemented by the government in 2005 to try and curb speculation led to a considerable fall in property prices, ranging from 5% to 20% drops. As a result, prices still have a fair way to appreciate.

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